Analysis on the kill probability of two Shooting Modes for fire control system of antiaircraft artillery

Under the same condition of firepower, the kill probability of Concentrated Shooting Mode and Distributed Shooting Mode is studied by the combinative methods of qualitative analysis and quantitative calculation. Theoretical analysis shows that when the predicting systemic error of future target position is small, the kill probability of the former mode is higher than that of the latter mode; When the predicting systemic error of future target position is large, the kill probability of the latter mode is higher than that of the former mode through adjusting reasonable distributed shooting parameters. Finally, the validity of theoretical analysis results is illustrated by simulation.