An analysis of economic increase fluctuation in Shaanxi Province based on VAR model

On the foundation of vector auto regression model, this paper applies impulse response function and variance decomposition to make up positive analysis, which refers to economic increase fluctuation in Shaanxi provience. The result shows that export has an important position among the many variables, and the innovation from export is concerned with fluctuation of GDP. At the end of the paper, accroding to the result of the analysis, it proposed some related policies.