Modeling & Simulation Capability for Consequence Management

The Modeling & Simulation Capability for Consequence Management prototype allows emergency planners to design and run dynamic, time aware, ArcGIS 10 based “what-if” gaming simulations depicting the impacts upon critical infrastructure and resource consumption during a large-scale mass evacuation from the National Capital Region to a host region. The capability enables emergency planners to run multiple iterations of a simulated event with different resource allocations including the ability to activate and deactivate shelters, place barriers, and enforce fuel rationing. The technical aspects of the capability rely on the ESRI ArcGIS API for Flex coupled with custom geoprocessing services housed on an ESRI ArcGIS Server. The prototype system was developed for the FEMA Regional Catastrophic Preparedness Grant Program initially focusing on the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. The simulation logic is designed for extensibility to encompass all state-wide counties, neighboring states, and geographical regions/districts.