How uncertainty consumes prediction

The problem of prediction of target location and the role that this problem plays in the design and evolution of a modern combat system is analyzed. Connected with this problem is the task of choosing one set of hypotheses from among many viable sets. The functional dependence of the ability to make a prediction is discussed with particular attention paid to efficiencies and deficiencies. A general principle is proposed that helps bound the prediction problem from a weapons system perspective. A technique due to Jaynes called the transformation group method is applied to understand some of the problems of prediction