Inferring TCP connection characteristics through passive measurements

We propose a passive measurement methodology to infer and keep track of the values of two important variables associated with a TCP connection: the sender's congestion window (cwnd) and the connection round trip time (RTT). Together, these variables provide a valuable diagnostic of end-user-perceived network performance. Our methodology is validated via both simulation and concurrent active measurements, and is shown to be able to handle various flavors of TCP. Given our passive approach and measurement points within a Tier-1 network provider, we are able to analyze more than 10 million connections, with senders located in more than 45% of the autonomous systems in today's Internet. Our results indicate that sender throughput is frequently limited by a lack of data to send, that the TCP congestion control flavor often has minimal impact on throughput, and that the vast majority of connections do not experience significant variations in RTT during their lifetime