By Topic

Sources of and effects of interexpert correlation: an empirical study

Sign In

Cookies must be enabled to login.After enabling cookies , please use refresh or reload or ctrl+f5 on the browser for the login options.

Formats Non-Member Member
$33 $13
Learn how you can qualify for the best price for this item!
Become an IEEE Member or Subscribe to
IEEE Xplore for exclusive pricing!
close button

puzzle piece

IEEE membership options for an individual and IEEE Xplore subscriptions for an organization offer the most affordable access to essential journal articles, conference papers, standards, eBooks, and eLearning courses.

Learn more about:

IEEE membership

IEEE Xplore subscriptions

2 Author(s)
Booker, J.M. ; Los Alamos Nat. Lab., NM ; Meyer, M.A.

Expert estimates are relied on as sources of data whenever experimental data are lacking, such as in risk analysis. Correlation between experts poses problems in the aggregation of multiple estimates. The sources and structure of interexpert correlation are identified, and some of the ramifications are discussed. Expert estimates were found to correlate to the experts' problem-solving techniques and not to any features of their professional backgrounds. The paths that experts used to reach solutions included algorithms and assumptions. Both assumptions and algorithms were found to correlate to the answers because they are integral parts of the path. In addition, correctness of assumptions was found to correlate to the accuracy of the answers

Published in:

Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on  (Volume:18 ,  Issue: 1 )