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Evaluating a Delphi forecast on personal computers

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2 Author(s)
Gray, P. ; Edwin L. Cox School of Business, Southern Methodist Univ., Dallas, TX, USA ; Nilles, J.M.

In 1978, a Delphi forecast was undertaken on future developments in personal computers (Nilles et al., 1980). The forecasts are compared with the actual outcomes and indicators available in 1982. The comparison shows the consensus reached by the Delphi panel to be almost completely accurate.

Published in:

Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on  (Volume:SMC-13 ,  Issue: 2 )