Quantitative analysis of national research tendency on hotspot of library's core competence

With the quantity of papers from 2002–2010 year in China, which searched out by terms of “core competence of library”, this paper applies GM(1,1) forcasting model to explore transformation tendency of the hotspot, under the information environment of intelligence. The result shows that the proportion, of paper's amount based on “core competence of library” to tatal refers to “library”, keeps sustainable growth in the ration of 11.57% since 2004.