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Rapid voltage fluctuations in an electric power network may produce significant levels of flickers, which have negative impacts on human eyes and power system components. This paper proposes a grey predictor model for the forecast of the flicker severity level associated with operating a large electric arc furnace load. Actual measured flicker index data are adopted to implement the predictor model. Test results based on the proposed model are compared with another neural-network-based method. It shows that a more accurate forecast is achieved by using the proposed grey predictor model.
Date of Publication: Oct. 2012