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Multivariate Analysis of Real Option Value Based on Grey Relational Model

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2 Author(s)
Zheng-Xin Wang ; Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Zhejiang Normal Univ., Jinhua, China ; Ling-ling Pei

Real option value is determined by a variety of uncertain factors. It is very important to assess the intensity and importance of these factors affecting the real option value for investment decision makers. In this paper, the real option value system is viewed as a grey system and grey relational model (GRM) is employed to analyze the factors affecting the real option value. In order to eliminate the systematic uncertainty, an optimization model is constructed to determine the weighs in GRM. Finally, the effectiveness and practicality of the proposed method is illuminated by an actual case study.

Published in:

Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering (BIFE), 2011 Fourth International Conference on

Date of Conference:

17-18 Oct. 2011