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Generalized weighted functional proportional mean combining forecasting model and its method of parameter estimation

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2 Author(s)
Wan Yucheng ; School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, P. R. China; No. 3 Department, Air Force Logistics College, Xuzhou 221002, P. R. China ; Sheng Zhaohan

A new kind of combining forecasting model based on the generalized weighted functional proportional mean is proposed and the parameter estimation method of its weighting coefficients by means of the algorithm of quadratic programming is given. This model has extensive representation. It is a new kind of aggregative method of group forecasting. By taking the suitable combining form of the forecasting models and seeking the optimal parameter, the optimal combining form can be obtained and the forecasting accuracy can be improved. The effectiveness of this model is demonstrated by an example.

Published in:

Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics  (Volume:15 ,  Issue: 1 )