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The hybrid model based on Hilbert-Huang Transform and neural networks for forecasting of short-term operation conditions of power system

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4 Author(s)
Kurbatsky, V.G. ; Electr. Power Syst. Dept., Melentiev Energy Syst. Inst. SB RAS, Irkutsk, Russia ; Sidorov, D.N. ; Spiryaev, V.A. ; Tomin, N.V.

The paper addresses the conventional approaches to the short-term forecasting of nonstationary processes in complex power systems using the methodology of artificial neural networks (ANNs). In many practical cases the application of different ANNs can provide a satisfactory forecast. But data preprocessing and analysis can significantly improve the forecast. In this paper the Hilbert-Huang Transform (HHT) is used as one of the most promising tools in this area. Here we focus on HHT since this transform underlies the proposed two-stage intelligent approach to short-term forecasting of nonstationary processes.

Published in:

PowerTech, 2011 IEEE Trondheim

Date of Conference:

19-23 June 2011

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