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Applying the Scenario Planning approach to support multicriterial strategic assessment

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2 Author(s)
Zawadzki, M. ; Inst. for Adv. Studies, São José dos Campos, Brazil ; Araujo, D.

This research focuses on applying both Scenario Planning and Multicriteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) approaches that have a great potential to support Strategic Decision Making. These methods make possible to assess strategic lines of action and to treat uncertainty related to future states. Considering a military context where there is an imminent catastrophic situation, this work demonstrates the viability of applying Scenario Planning with Multicriteria Decision Analysis in operational and strategic environments. The situational awareness can be improved and so the actions can be planned towards the main objectives achievement. By building scenarios on a constructive way, a variety of viewpoints about the future situations can be taken into account, even when they present conflicting opinions.

Published in:

Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision Support (CogSIMA), 2011 IEEE First International Multi-Disciplinary Conference on

Date of Conference:

22-24 Feb. 2011