By Topic

Modelling the risk of mosquito-borne diseases by System Dynamics: The case of human travel between different geographic regions

Sign In

Cookies must be enabled to login.After enabling cookies , please use refresh or reload or ctrl+f5 on the browser for the login options.

Formats Non-Member Member
$33 $13
Learn how you can qualify for the best price for this item!
Become an IEEE Member or Subscribe to
IEEE Xplore for exclusive pricing!
close button

puzzle piece

IEEE membership options for an individual and IEEE Xplore subscriptions for an organization offer the most affordable access to essential journal articles, conference papers, standards, eBooks, and eLearning courses.

Learn more about:

IEEE membership

IEEE Xplore subscriptions

3 Author(s)
M. Mecoli ; Dip. di Statistica, Probabilità e Statistiche Applicate, Università “La Sapienza”, Roma, Italy ; V. De Angelis ; S. C. Brailsford

This paper describes the development of a System Dynamics model to study the diffusion of diseases transmitted by the mosquito Aedes albopictus, considering the effects of human travel among non homogeneous regions. This mosquito, originating in the tropical and subtropical regions of Southeast Asia, is one of the world's most invasive species, due to two reasons: (i) the global trade in used tyres, which frequently contain small deposits of water where mosquitoes lay eggs, that are therefore transported around the world; (ii) the great adaptability of Aedes albopictus to climate changes, that allows its survival also in temperate zones. Such mosquito is the vector of serious diseases: an outbreak of the tropical disease Chikungunya in Italy in 2007 proved that Europe is definitely at risk for Aedes-borne diseases. Its diffusion can be limited by suitable control policies, whose aim is drastically to reduce the number of larvae and/or adult mosquitos. Therefore, models are useful to study the diffusion of Aedes albopictus, the risk of disease spread in various regions, and the effects of control policies on the development of epidemics.

Published in:

Systems Man and Cybernetics (SMC), 2010 IEEE International Conference on

Date of Conference:

10-13 Oct. 2010