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Development of a potential-function model for load prediction in an electricity-distribution system

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2 Author(s)
Prime, H.A. ; University of Birmingham, Department of Electronic & Electrical Engineering, Birmingham, UK ; Tsui, H.T.

To implement computer control of a distribution network, it is desirable to have some knowledge of the demand variations a number of hours ahead, at a number of points of the network. A prediction model which facilitates fast computation and requires modest storage and little updating is desirable. Such a model based on a potential-function algorithm has been developed, and its performance with various load data has been analysed and compared with a selected number of other prediction methods. The accuracy of prediction can be increased at the expense of storage space and computing effort.

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Electrical Engineers, Proceedings of the Institution of  (Volume:119 ,  Issue: 8 )