A probabilistic method for the evaluation of the performance and the reliability of wind-diesel energy systems

A probabilistic method for the evaluation of the performance and the reliability of wind-diesel energy systems with constrained wind generation is presented. The method computes the expected annual wind and diesel energy production as well as the system loss of load probability and expected unserved energy by processing the statistics of the wind speed and the system load demand. The performance of the method is demonstrated with computational results.<
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