By Topic

Software design and evaluation of a microcomputer-based automated load forecasting system

Sign In

Cookies must be enabled to login.After enabling cookies , please use refresh or reload or ctrl+f5 on the browser for the login options.

Formats Non-Member Member
$31 $13
Learn how you can qualify for the best price for this item!
Become an IEEE Member or Subscribe to
IEEE Xplore for exclusive pricing!
close button

puzzle piece

IEEE membership options for an individual and IEEE Xplore subscriptions for an organization offer the most affordable access to essential journal articles, conference papers, standards, eBooks, and eLearning courses.

Learn more about:

IEEE membership

IEEE Xplore subscriptions

2 Author(s)
Rahman, S. ; Bradley Dept. of Electr. Eng., Virginia Tech., Blacksburg, VA, USA ; Baba, Mutasim

A discussion is presented of the software design and evaluation of a microcomputer-based automated load forecasting system. This system is based on an IBM RT/PC microcomputer, and Extended Fortran, Ratfor, and C languages. The online load and weather data collection, filtering, archiving, and load forecasting are totally automated. The forecast is based on the relationship between weather and electric utility load (MW) as extracted from historical data. `If. . .then' types of rules and other statistical relationships form the rule-base of the algorithm. This rule-base has been applied to generate the hourly system load forecasts for 1983 and 1986 in the Virginia Power service area. A 24 hour load forecast takes 20 seconds on the IBM-RT/PC. The absolute annual averages of the hourly load forecasts errors are found to be 1.437% and 1.298% for 1983 and 1986, respectively. Out of these two years, there were only nine occasions when the software failed to predict the hour of the daily peak. Moreover, these peaks were missed by only one hour

Published in:

Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on  (Volume:4 ,  Issue: 2 )