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Hurricanes are born of the sea, and they die over land. It's at that brief moment when they cross between the two that they do the most damage. The worst part of a hurricane's fury is over in hours, and its remnants subside in days. But a hurricane's other impacts - its human losses and economic costs - begin long before it ever reaches land, and linger long after it's gone. Predicting the number of hurricanes on the way is tied up in ocean temperatures and wind patterns, which evolve through the most active part of a hurricane season. That's why experts mix meteorology with computer science and statistics to create their forecasts. The article looks briefly at some of these forecasts.
Date of Publication: Nov.-Dec. 2005