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Forced-outage rates of generating units based on expert evaluation

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2 Author(s)
Noor, S.F. ; Strathclyde Univ., Glasgow, UK ; McDonald, J.R.

The uncertainties relating to the forced outage rates (FOR) of power system generating units are important in studies such as long-term generation expansion planning. These uncertainties might be better understood by experts in the field. Expert evaluations can be modeled with fuzzy set theory, and the fuzzy-FOR so calculated reflects the conditions of operation and maintenance of the units more realistically

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Reliability, IEEE Transactions on  (Volume:45 ,  Issue: 1 )