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Speculative trades and financial regulations: simulations based ongenetic programming

Shu-Heng Chen   Chia-Hsuan Yeh  
Dept. of Econ., Nat. Chengchi Univ., Taipei;

This paper appears in: Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr), 1997., Proceedings of the IEEE/IAFE 1997
Publication Date: 23-25 Mar 1997
On page(s): 123-129
Meeting Date: 03/24/1997 - 03/25/1997
Location: New York City, NY, USA
ISBN: 0-7803-4133-3
References Cited: 5
INSPEC Accession Number: 5644620
DOI: 10.1109/CIFER.1997.618924
Posted online: 2002-08-06 20:59:55.0

Abstract
By exploring a two-dimensional parameter space, the paper pinpoints the area where speculative trades can contribute to the reduction of price volatility and are hence imperative for market efficiency. This area is delimited by a rather restrictive financial regulations imposed on an inherently unstable economy. Specifically, depending on the associated financial regulations, the authors' GP-based simulations of cobweb markets show that speculative trades may reduce price volatility by 20% to 50% in an inherently unstable economy; on the other hand they may also increase price volatility by 300% to 3000%. The paper generalizes the earlier finding by Chen and Yeh (1997), which basically shows that in an inherently stable economy, speculative trades can only be destabilizing

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