FCM based Demand Response Baseline Load Estimation Using Smart Meter Data

Customer baseline load estimation is the basis of Demand Response(DR) for it decides the DR performance evaluation and financial settlement of customer participation. The accurate estimation of baseline load is hard because of complexity and uncertainty of customer behavior. Besides, baseline load is an ideal load which cannot be metered in reality. This paper proposed a data driven Fuzzy C Means(FCM) based baseline load estimation method. The fuzzy characteristics of customer electricity consumption behavior is adequately considered and the complex factors of customer behavior are implicitly considered. The proposed method has high accuracy compared to conventional methods.