State forecasting and operational planning for distribution network energy management systems

This paper describes the application of advanced metering infrastructure data for developing energy forecasting and operational planning services in distribution networks with significant distributed energy resources. This paper describes development of three services designed for use in distribution network energy management systems. These are comprised of a demand forecasting service, an approach for constraint management in distribution networks, and a service for forecasting voltage profiles in the low voltage network. These services could be applied as part of an advanced distribution network management system in order to improve situational awareness and provide early warning of potential network issues. The methodology and its applicability is demonstrated using recorded supervisory control and data acquisition and smart meter data from an existing medium voltage distribution network.