Simulation of the dynamic model of energy consumption structure in different periods in China

This paper sets up a dynamic model of energy consumption structure in China and selects two different groups of data to simulate and forecast the trend of the energy consumption structure. The forecast result is that the consumption rate of coal will decrease, while the rates of electricity, natural gas and petroleum will increase. Because the two groups of data are from different periods, there is a little discrepancy between the two forecast results. By comparing and analyzing the restriction and impetus of energy consumption of different periods in China, this paper explores the effective pattern of the development of energy in the future. Therefore, it’s necessary for our state to take some measures, such as to regulate the industrial structure, to raise the level of science and technology, innovating system and mechanism to change the existing structure of energy consumption, finally, to achieve the sustainable development of China’s energy consumption.