A probabilistic method for the evaluation of the performance of wind-diesel energy systems

The method takes into account the constraint that the wind generation must not exceed a certain percentage of the system load, which is imposed for reliability reasons. The method efficiently computes the statistics of the wind generation and the diesel plant loading based on the statistics of the wind speed and the system load demand. The performance of the method is demonstrated with computational results. An example of obtaining the optimum wind penetration for an existing diesel system is presented.<
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