Game strategies for The Settlers of Catan

We present an empirical framework for testing game strategies in The Settlers of Catan, a complex win-lose game that lacks any analytic solution. This framework provides the means to change different components of an autonomous agent's strategy, and to test them in suitably controlled ways via performance metrics in game simulations and via comparisons of the agent's behaviours with those exhibited in a corpus of humans playing the game. We provide changes to the game strategy that not only improve the agent's strength, but corpus analysis shows that they also bring the agent closer to a model of human players.