A Cyber Attack Modeling and Impact Assessment framework

The paper suggests a framework for cyber attack modeling and impact assessment. It is supposed that the common approach to attack modeling and impact assessment is based on representing malefactors' behavior, generating attack graphs, calculating security metrics and providing risk analysis procedures. The main aspects outlined are achieving near-real time mode, event analysis and prognosis mechanisms, security and impact assessment. To optimize the attack graph generation and security evaluation we apply an anytime approach to have the result at any time by applying a set of algorithms with different timelines and precision. The architecture of the Cyber Attack Modeling and Impact Assessment Component (CAMIAC) is proposed. We present the prototype of the component, the results of experiments carried out, and comparative analysis of the techniques used.