An experiment with the Delphi procedure for long-range forecasting

Long-range planning requires the use of a forecast, either implicit or explicit. The Delphi procedure is one method of obtaining an explicit forecast. This experiment was conducted to determine the problems and difficulties associated with the use of the Delphi procedure. It was concluded that the procedure is workable and does not require undue effort to be carried out. Information on man hours required, delays involved, and degree of change of opinion during the course of the procedure is given.