A Comparative Study between "Prediction-Response" and "Scenario-Response" in Unconventional Emergency Decision-Making Management

In recent years, unconventional emergency exploded frequently, and had shown the complexity and enormous destruction, and other significant characteristics. It had a great impact on people's daily life and social security and stability. Humans lack of adequate cognition of what kind of event state, the possibilities of its appearance and its harm degrees. The traditional "prediction-response" mode would help decision-makers take an effective judgment on the possibility of evolution of unconventional emergency evolution, but there are some errors. Started with the definition of "prediction-response" and "scenario-response", this article mainly compares the differences between these decision-making management methods, and then we put forward a new emergency decision-making thought of "scenario-response" that based on "prediction-response".