Dynamic land use change in rapidly urbanizing region

Land use change (LUC) model is fundamental in decision making process for regional sustainable development. It is practically important to analyze LUC in rapidly urbanizing region, such as Panyu District of Guangzhou, China, where a fast economy development makes it necessary to study the rule of urban land use change. Taking time-spatial land use change as the key point, a case study is carried out to analyze the land use change process, based on the land use data of 1996, 2005, and 2009. The transformation matrix of land use is calculated to show the spatial pattern and reveal the spatial change process of land use between 1996 and 2009. A multi-logistic regression model which takes five dependent factors is adopted to analyze the land use change process and predict the land use change tendency and proven to be feasible and efficient. This study may provide a guide to future research in land use change.