Study of Carrying Capacity of Water Resources Which Based on System Dynamics Model in Aibi Lake Area of Xinjiang

This paper uses system dynamics model predicting that water resources could meet the basic use of all professions and trades in Bole city, Jinghe county, wenquan county in the future 30 years which is as 2000 as the base year. However, it has been concerned that Aibi lake which maintain its perennial water 7.12 times 10
⁸
m
³
has not shrunk, the entire region will be water shortage over the next 30 years, it is expected that all professions and trades will be cumulatively water shortage about 9.26 times 10
⁸
m
³
in this region.