Capability-Based Quantitative Technology Evaluation for Systems-of-Systems

In this work, a methodology for quantitative technology evaluation for systems-of-systems is defined. Physics-based models of an aircraft system are exercised within a hierarchical, object-oriented constructive simulation to quantify technology potential in the context of a relevant scenario. Neural network surrogate models and agent-based modeling are leveraged to provide a battle management and technology exploitation capabilities to individual assets in the simulation. Surrogate models are also used around the simulation to perform rapid domain-spanning technology exploration. Since a large amount of data is produced in the analysis of systems-of-systems, dynamic, interactive visualization techniques are used to enable ' what-if games on assumptions, systems, technologies, tactics, and evolving threats to enable decision making with respect to technology investment.