Enhancement, implementation, and performance of an adaptive short-term load forecasting algorithm

An adaptive load forecasting algorithm that was originally developed for the one-hour time period has been extensively enhanced and implemented. The major enhancement is the ability to forecast total system hourly load as far ahead as five days. The focus is on the enhancements and implementation of the algorithm. The purpose is to describe the final form of the forecasting model and the overall forecasting procedure; the procedure for utilizing minimum/maximum daily weather forecasts made by the US Weather Bureau: the offline forecasting accuracy based on four years of historical hourly load and weather data; and the implementation of the algorithm on a desktop computer.<
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